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Better Buy Right Now: eBay Stock or Etsy Stock?

Parkev Tatevosian, CFAAug 29, 2026

Summary

Parkev provides a financial analysis comparing e-commerce giants Etsy and eBay, focusing on their asset-light business models. By acting as intermediaries rather than inventory owners, both companies generate significant transaction fees and maintain impressive profitability. Parkev highlights that both companies have successfully raised merchant fees, and their operating margins—21% for eBay and 16% for Etsy—actually exceed those of Amazon. Parkev also notes that both firms achieve returns on invested capital (ROIC) that are higher than their weighted average cost of capital (WACC), which is a key metric for value creation.

Etsy: Parkev observes that Etsy excels in the niche of customized, unique products and benefited significantly from pandemic-era demand. Parkev calculates a fair value of $92 for Etsy based on a discounted cash flow model, which sits above its current market price of $87. Despite a slight decline in margins since the lockdowns, the stock's forward price-to-earnings ratio of 12.6 is considered to be at the lower end of its historical range.
eBay: Parkev emphasizes eBay's larger scale, generating $12 billion in revenue, and its successful pivot toward live shopping and the collectibles market. Parkev calculates a fair value of $111 for the stock, compared to its current market price of $107, and notes it has a lower WACC of 10.5% compared to Etsy. While the forward P/E of 15.9 is at the higher end of its range, Parkev believes the company's innovation in international markets makes it the better overall investment between the two.

Mentioned Stocks

EBAY
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Parkev identifies eBay as the better pick of the two because of its booming collectibles business and innovation in live shopping. Parkev calculates a fair value of $111 compared to the current market price of $107 and highlights its strong 21% operating profit margin. Parkev also favors eBay's established nature and lower WACC of 10.5%.

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ETSY
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Parkev views Etsy as a strong buying opportunity due to its 21% ROIC and its current valuation being at the lower end of its historical range. Parkev calculates a fair value of $92 using a discounted cash flow model, which represents upside from the current market price of $87. Parkev notes that while growth has slowed since the pandemic, the asset-light model remains highly profitable.

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