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If You Missed Palantir or Nvidia. This is Far Bigger.

Tom NashAug 25, 2026

Summary

Tom identifies the next phase of the AI cycle as agentic AI and robotics, moving beyond simple chatbots to autonomous systems that perform tasks independently. Tom explains that these systems require significantly more memory and context, which shifts hardware requirements toward a much higher ratio of CPUs per GPU. Tom dismisses claims that AI is a bubble, citing data that major data centers are already profitable, generating billions in annual returns on investment.

Tom highlights the Jevons Paradox, suggesting that as AI technology becomes more efficient and cheaper, global demand will skyrocket rather than diminish. Tom believes that while the short-term market may be stretched, the long-term potential for infrastructure providers is massive. Tom advises using a double-down dollar-cost averaging strategy to build positions in high-quality companies over the next year.

AMD: Tom recommends AMD as the primary beneficiary of the upcoming CPU demand explosion, noting its strong leadership and historically low price-to-sales ratio. Tom points out that the company has seen massive growth in net income and free cash flow while the stock remains undervalued compared to historical multiples. Tom predicts a potential 1,500% return in a bull case scenario over the next five years, with a bear case of 158%.
NVDA: Tom acknowledges Nvidia as a massive success story that Tom called early in 2020, but notes it has already experienced a 15x return. Tom suggests that while Nvidia remains a key player, the market is now looking for the next big beneficiary of the second wave of AI hardware. Tom views Nvidia as a solid company but implies the massive gains have already been realized compared to newer opportunities.
INTC & ARM: Tom mentions Intel and ARM as the other key players in the CPU market that have seen significant pullbacks since June. Tom notes that these companies are down as much as 40% from their highs, creating potential windows for investors. However, Tom states a clear preference for AMD due to its superior fundamentals and specific positioning in the data center market.

Mentioned Stocks

NVDA
Sentiment: HOLD

Reasoning: Tom notes that while Nvidia is a top-tier company, it has already realized a 15x return since his previous call. Tom suggests looking for the next player in the second wave of AI infrastructure rather than chasing previous gains.

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AMD
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Tom highlights that AMD is trading at its cheapest price-to-sales ratio (17x) since 2022 despite explosive growth in operating income and cash reserves. Tom argues that the shift to agentic AI will require a 1:1 or 1:2 CPU-to-GPU ratio, drastically increasing AMD's total addressable market. Tom provides five-year price predictions of 158% in a bear case, 534% in a medium case, and 1,500% in a bull case scenario.

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INTC
Sentiment: HOLD

Reasoning: Tom mentions Intel as a key CPU player currently down 40% from its June highs. Tom believes you can't go wrong with it, but expresses a preference for AMD's fundamentals.

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