T
TubeFolio
Back to Dashboard

Bill Ackman Just Bought 6 New Stocks

Summary

Joseph analyzes the Q2 report from Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square, noting a significant overlap between Ackman's new positions and Joseph's existing portfolio. Joseph argues that the market has unfairly punished high-quality companies due to temporary narratives, such as engagement concerns at Netflix or AI disruption fears at S&P Global. Joseph emphasizes that 90% of S&P 500 companies contributed less than 2% of the year-to-date returns, suggesting a massive opportunity in "left behind" quality stocks.

Joseph structures the analysis around several key holdings:

Netflix (NFLX): Joseph argues that Netflix is the dominant winner of the streaming wars and that engagement concerns are misunderstood due to geographic mix shifts. Joseph highlights that Bill Ackman recently re-entered the stock at approximately $74 per share, a move Joseph supports given the company's 20% annual earnings compound growth potential. Joseph maintains that Netflix is one of the most predictable businesses in the market despite past volatility.
S&P Global (SPGI): Joseph discusses how S&P Global saw a 25% price drop because of fears that AI tools like Claude would disrupt its financial data business. Joseph points out that the specific segment under threat represents less than 7% of total revenue, while the core benchmark business remains a high-quality monopoly. Joseph notes the stock reached a bargain valuation of 19 times earnings and remains attractive at current levels.
Mastercard (MA): Joseph describes Mastercard as a dominant global network and dismisses fears that stablecoins will disrupt the business. Joseph argues that stablecoins and AI agents will actually increase transaction volumes by removing friction in global commerce. Joseph currently holds a massive position with significant gains and agrees with Ackman’s decision to buy both Mastercard and Visa during recent dips.
Uber (UBER): Joseph addresses the fear surrounding Autonomous Vehicles (AVs), stating that Uber's scale and hybrid human-AV model provide it with a massive competitive advantage. Joseph notes that Uber is trading at a historically low valuation of 19 times earnings while growing earnings at a 35% rate. Joseph believes the market's concern over Whimo is overstated compared to Uber's fundamental strength.
Meta (META): Joseph views Meta as a primary beneficiary of AI, which is improving ad targeting and user engagement through better recommendations. Joseph states that whenever Meta trades at a forward PE ratio in the teens, it represents an exceptional buying opportunity. Joseph continues to hold the stock, viewing it as one of the best current options in the market.

Mentioned Stocks

META
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Joseph views Meta as a clear winner in the AI race through better monetization and content curation. Joseph states that whenever the forward PE ratio is between 10 and 20, it is a historically great time to own the stock.

Loading chart...
MA
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Joseph is extremely bullish on the global payment network, viewing stablecoins and AI agents as catalysts for more volume rather than threats. Joseph highlights his own 89% return on the position and agrees with Bill Ackman's recent purchase of both Mastercard and Visa.

Loading chart...
NFLX
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Joseph believes Netflix has won the streaming war and remains highly predictable. Joseph points out that engagement fears are a result of geographic shifts in the user base rather than a loss of quality. Joseph notes that Bill Ackman re-entered at roughly $74, and Joseph expects 20% annual earnings growth.

Loading chart...
ICE
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Joseph supports Bill Ackman's entry into the Intercontinental Exchange, noting its simple, predictable, and free-cash-flow generative nature. Joseph believes it benefits from favorable macro tailwinds and secular growth in futures and options.

Loading chart...
ALC
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Joseph highlights Alcon as a dominant ophthalmology company with high-margin recurring revenue from its massive surgical install base. Joseph agrees with the thesis that its earnings will grow in the mid-teens, leading to multiple expansion.

Loading chart...
SPGI
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Joseph argues that AI fears related to Claude are significantly overstated as they only impact a tiny fraction of revenue. Joseph highlights that the valuation recently hit a 5-year low of 19x PE, making it a bargain for such a high-quality business. Joseph views the benchmark business as a durable moat.

Loading chart...
UBER
Sentiment: BUYAction: RECOMMENDED

Reasoning: Joseph argues the market is being too pessimistic about autonomous vehicle competition. Joseph notes Uber is growing earnings at 35% while trading at only 19 times earnings, which Joseph considers a significant disconnect from fundamentals.

Loading chart...